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Books > Social sciences > Sociology, social studies > Social research & statistics

View From City Hall - Reflections On Governing Cape Town (Paperback): Patricia De Lille, Craig Kesson View From City Hall - Reflections On Governing Cape Town (Paperback)
Patricia De Lille, Craig Kesson 3
R265 R179 Discovery Miles 1 790 Save R86 (32%) In stock

The City of Cape Town is a place of contrasts, the legacy of apartheid having left a distinct make-up. Yet the challenges confronting the contemporary city are notably aggravated by modern-day factors such as increasing unemployment and poverty.

In this timely work, Mayor of Cape Town Patricia de Lille and Craig Kesson, the city’s Director of Policy and Strategy, confront some of the issues of governance: how can the city help overcome social and physical segregation; how can the government live up to the promises made to South Africans; and how can the city function and heal within these limitations?

"I’ve seen firsthand the progress Cape Town has made under Mayor De Lille. Successes in one city often spreads to others, and this book provides a valuable guide for how, with a bit of motivated and dynamic leadership, cities can lead the way on the most important issues of our day.” Michael Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg L.P. and former mayor of New York City

A Time Traveller's Guide To South Africa In 2030 (Paperback): Frans Cronje A Time Traveller's Guide To South Africa In 2030 (Paperback)
Frans Cronje 1
R261 Discovery Miles 2 610 In stock

What will South Africa look like in 2030? And how will the next fifteen years unfold?

Since leading scenario planner Frans Cronje published his bestseller A Time Traveller’s Guide to Our Next Ten Years, the country has changed rapidly. Political tensions have increased, economic performance has weakened and more and more South Africans are taking their frustrations to the street. What does this mean for the country’s future?

Cronje presents the most likely scenarios for South Africa’s future.

A Journey Of Diversity & Inclusion In South Africa - Guidelines For Leading Inclusively (Paperback): Nene Molefi A Journey Of Diversity & Inclusion In South Africa - Guidelines For Leading Inclusively (Paperback)
Nene Molefi; Foreword by Justice Edwin Cameron
R321 Discovery Miles 3 210 In stock

"Over the past two decades, Nene has gained a reputation both locally and internationally as a thought-leader in diversity and inclusion, values-driven leadership and transformation. She has authored numerous publications, including contributing to the book Leadership Perspectives from the Front Line. She is a member of the Diversity Collegium, a think tank of globally-recognised diversity experts. She is an associate lecturer at GIBS on Global Diversity and Unconscious Bias, as well as an associate lecturer on Transformation Strategy for the Stellenbosch Business School. She is a sought-after speaker for conferences around the world."

"The ideas and experiences shared by author Nene Molefi speak directly to the troubling prejudices and inequities that persist in our world. Diversity and inclusion are more pressing than ever. Injustices and deep social divisions persist, personally and systemically. Racism, sexism, homophobia, and other forms of fear and hatred are not isolated. They remain embedded and they demand courageous, deliberate work. In this book, Nene uses her own story to cast a bright light on the transformation journey. Nene’s book quite vulnerably takes the reader on Nene’s personal journey. In addition to the deeply personal content, each chapter ends with practical guidelines on how to lead inclusively. Nene’s book offers hope and substance in our vision of a diverse and inclusive and just society." —Justice Edwin Cameron

'n Tydreisigersgids Vir Suid-Afrika In 2030 (Afrikaans, Paperback): Frans Cronje 'n Tydreisigersgids Vir Suid-Afrika In 2030 (Afrikaans, Paperback)
Frans Cronje
R261 Discovery Miles 2 610 Within 7 - 15 working days

Hoe gaan Suid-Afrika in 2030 lyk? En hoe gaan die volgende 15 jaar ontvou?

Sedert die bekende scenariobeplanner Frans Cronje se blitsverkoper, A Time Traveller’s Guide to Our Next Ten Years, het die land dramaties verander. Politieke spanning het verhoog, die ekonomie het in die hek geduik en al meer Suid-Afrikaners wend hulle uit frustrasie straat toe.

Wat beteken dit vir die land se toekoms? Gaan die vonk in die kruitvat vlamvat of gaan ’n reenboog sy onverwagse verskyning maak?

Turning Point - South Africa At A Crossroads (Paperback): Theuns Eloff Turning Point - South Africa At A Crossroads (Paperback)
Theuns Eloff
R266 Discovery Miles 2 660 In stock

Living in South Africa isn’t easy – with crime, unemployment, poverty, racism, state capture, unrest at our universities… Tempers flare. People take their anger to the streets. As a country we are at a crossroads and the future is uncertain. How do we make sense of what is happening around us, and how can we help build the society we would like?

Theuns Eloff’s fresh, fact-based analysis tells us how South Africa really works – and how we can all pitch in to make it better.

The Disruptors - Social Entrepreneurs Re-inventing Business And Society (Paperback): Kerryn Krige, Gus Silber The Disruptors - Social Entrepreneurs Re-inventing Business And Society (Paperback)
Kerryn Krige, Gus Silber
R280 R259 Discovery Miles 2 590 Save R21 (7%) Within 4 - 10 working days

Can business change the world? Can the world change business?

For a new breed of social entrepreneurs, striving to build and grow enterprises that fight social ills, foster opportunity, and help to improve society, the answer is not can, it’s must. Impassioned by purpose, driven by dreams, emboldened by ideals, social entrepreneurs imagine a better way to a better world. And then they go out of their way to bring it to life. In the process, they shake the dust off old ways of thinking and disrupt the way business has always been done. In this book, brought to you by GIBS, a leading business school based in Johannesburg, you’ll get to meet The Disruptors.

Through these tales of daring, struggle, triumph and innovation, you’ll see the world through the eyes of a diverse range of social entrepreneurs, and learn their secrets for changing the world by changing business. From healthcare to mobile gaming, from education to recycling, from dancing to gardening, these are the game-changers, the difference-makers, the doers of good. Here are their stories.

Research in Education: Pearson New International Edition - Evidence-Based Inquiry (Paperback, 7th edition): James H. McMillan,... Research in Education: Pearson New International Edition - Evidence-Based Inquiry (Paperback, 7th edition)
James H. McMillan, Sally Schumacher 1
R1,497 R1,202 Discovery Miles 12 020 Save R295 (20%) Within 7 - 12 working days

This substantially revised text provides a comprehensive, highly accessible, and student friendly introduction to the principles, concepts, and methods currently used in educational research. This text provides a balanced combination of quantitative and qualitative methods and enables students to master skills in reading, understanding, critiquing, and conducting research. Many examples and article excerpts are used throughout the text to demonstrate and highlight best practices in educational research. Evidence-based inquiry is emphasized in two ways: (1) Introductory chapters focus on the added importance of data driven decision-making, (2) Methodological chapters provide explicit guidelines for conducting empirical studies.

The Basics of Social Research (Paperback, 6th ed.): Earl R Babbie The Basics of Social Research (Paperback, 6th ed.)
Earl R Babbie 1
R587 R509 Discovery Miles 5 090 Save R78 (13%) Within 8 - 13 working days

This thorough revision of Babbie's standard-setting text presents a succinct, straightforward introduction to the field of research methods as practiced by social scientists. Contemporary examples, such as terrorism, Alzheimer's disease, anti-gay prejudice and education, and the legalization of marijuana, introduce students to the "how-tos" and "whys" of social research methods. With increased emphasis on qualitative research and practical applications, this edition is authoritative yet student-friendly and engaging enough to help students connect the dots between the world of social research and the real world. Available with InfoTrac Student Collections http: //gocengage.com/infotrac.

Another Country - Everyday Social Restitution (Paperback): Sharlene Swartz Another Country - Everyday Social Restitution (Paperback)
Sharlene Swartz
R285 R264 Discovery Miles 2 640 Save R21 (7%) In stock

In Another Country: Everyday Social Restitution, author Sharlene Swartz introduces the concept of `social restitution' - understood as the actions and attitudes that everyday people can undertake in dialogue with each other to `make things good' since `making things right' is impossible. In setting out an understanding of and an agenda for social restitution, she offers four ideas based on engaged reflection with sixty ordinary South Africans of all ages, colours and classes. First, injustice damages all our humanity and continues over time, and must be understood before we can simply move forward. Second, that a broad understanding of restitution is a helpful tool to bring about change, and that we need new language beyond the labels of victim and perpetrator to talk about our role in the past (such as beneficiary, resister, ostrich, architect or implementer). Third, that restitution should aim at restoring dignity, opportunity, belonging and memory, and so should include not only symbolic but also practical and financial acts. Fourth, that there is something for everyone to do - individuals and communities, alongside government and institutional efforts, and the best way to decide on what action should be taken is to decide together, in dialogue, across previous divides. This book offers stories, ideas and strong theories for how South Africa can be Another Country in our lifetime.

Numbers, Hypotheses & Conclusions (Paperback, 2nd ed): K. Durrheim, C. Tredoux Numbers, Hypotheses & Conclusions (Paperback, 2nd ed)
K. Durrheim, C. Tredoux
R586 R455 Discovery Miles 4 550 Save R131 (22%) In stock

Statistics and quantitative methods are brought to life for social science students in this tutorial course. This revised edition provides an overview of entry- and intermediate-level statistics, and the accompanying material on the CD provides extensive practice. Both the text and the CD are structured to make learning self-directed, thus numerous worked examples, exercises, activities and tests are included. The emphasis, throughout, is on practice. Students are expected to engage with the material and experience first-hand the multiple aspects of data and statistical analysis.

Statistical Methods for Psychology, International Edition (Paperback, International Edition): David C. Howell Statistical Methods for Psychology, International Edition (Paperback, International Edition)
David C. Howell
R734 R631 Discovery Miles 6 310 Save R103 (14%) In stock

STATISTICAL METHODS FOR PSYCHOLOGY, 8E, International Edition surveys the statistical techniques commonly used in the behavioral and social sciences, especially psychology and education. To help students gain a better understanding of the specific statistical hypothesis tests that are covered throughout the text, author David Howell emphasize conceptual understanding. Along with significantly updated discussions of effect size and meta-analysis, this Eighth Edition continues to focus on two key themes that are the cornerstones of this book's success: the importance of looking at the data before beginning a hypothesis test, and the importance of knowing the relationship between the statistical test in use and the theoretical questions being asked by the experiment.

Man from the Train (Hardcover): Bill James Man from the Train (Hardcover)
Bill James
R523 R392 Discovery Miles 3 920 Save R131 (25%) Within 7 - 11 working days

Using unprecedented, dramatically compelling sleuthing techniques, legendary statistician and baseball writer Bill James applies his analytical acumen to crack an unsolved century-old mystery surrounding one of the deadliest serial killers in American history. Between 1898 and 1912, families across the country were bludgeoned in their sleep with the blunt side of an axe. Jewelry and valuables were left in plain sight, bodies were piled together, faces covered with cloth. Some of these cases, like the infamous Villasca, Iowa, murders, received national attention. But few people believed the crimes were related. And fewer still would realize that all of these families lived within walking distance to a train station. When celebrated baseball statistician and true crime expert Bill James first learned about these horrors, he began to investigate others that might fit the same pattern. Applying the same know-how he brings to his legendary baseball analysis, he empirically determined which crimes were committed by the same person. Then after sifting through thousands of local newspapers, court transcripts, and public records, he and his daughter Rachel made an astonishing discovery: they learned the true identity of this monstrous criminal. In turn, they uncovered one of the deadliest serial killers in America. Riveting and immersive, with writing as sharp as the cold side of an axe, The Man from the Train paints a vivid, psychologically perceptive portrait of America at the dawn of the twentieth century, when crime was regarded as a local problem, and opportunistic private detectives exploited a dysfunctional judicial system. James shows how these cultural factors enabled such an unspeakable series of crimes to occur, and his groundbreaking approach to true crime will convince skeptics, amaze aficionados, and change the way we view criminal history.

Future Positive (Paperback): Edward de Bono Future Positive (Paperback)
Edward de Bono 1
R290 R229 Discovery Miles 2 290 Save R61 (21%) Within 8 - 15 working days

`Of one thing in life we can be sure. The quality of our life in the future will depend on the quality of our thinking.' Why are we so prone to be negative? And how can we become more positive, both as individuals and as a society? The answer lies in the way we think. The key to positive thinking is developing new concepts, whether this means coming up with a brand new idea or just looking at an existing one in a new light. If we make a deliberate and positive effort to change our thinking we can secure a positive future, and we can harness the focused power of human thinking by releasing it from its pettiness. Edward the Bono is the Nobel Prize nominated father of creative thinking and the master of training the mind to think the right way. He wrote the multi-million copy bestseller Six Thinking Hats and many other revolutionary works on how to think. This classic work was first published in 1979, and since then our belief in the power of positive thinking has only become stronger.

Why States Recover - Changing Walking Societies Into Winning Nations, From Afghanistan To Zimbabwe (Paperback): Greg Mills Why States Recover - Changing Walking Societies Into Winning Nations, From Afghanistan To Zimbabwe (Paperback)
Greg Mills
R299 R257 Discovery Miles 2 570 Save R42 (14%) Within 4 - 8 working days

State failure takes many forms.

Somalia offers one extreme. A collapse of central authority as the outcome of a prolonged civil war, where authority descends into competing factions—headed by warlords—around the spoils of local commerce, power and international aid. At the other end of the scale is Malawi. During President Bingu’s second term in office, the country’s economy collapsed as a result of poor policies and personalised politics. On the surface, save the petrol queues, it was stable; underneath, the polity was fractured, the economy broken.

Between these two extremes of state failure are all manner of examples. Drawing on research in more than thirty countries, incorporating interviews with a dozen leaders, Mills disaggregates state failure and identify instances of recovery in Latin America, Asia and Africa. All the while he returns to his key questions: how do countries recover, and what roles ought insiders and outsiders play to aid that process?

What's Your Moonshot? - Future-proof yourself and your business in the age of exponential disruption (Paperback): John... What's Your Moonshot? - Future-proof yourself and your business in the age of exponential disruption (Paperback)
John Sanei
R240 R222 Discovery Miles 2 220 Save R18 (7%) Within 4 - 10 working days

In What’s Your Moonshot? trend and innovation strategist John Sanei explains how to ask the bigger, bolder, more courageous questions that will help you thrive – rather than merely survive – in our exponentially changing times. With a future-focused victor mindset, Sanei decodes the mega-trends that are reshaping human behaviour and the way we do business – not to mention, the way we live our lives. He then explains how to innovate your business with the ultimate aim of becoming the new type of billionaire: someone who positively affects billions of people. As the foundations of modern economies – transportation, communication and energy – start becoming free or virtually free, massive transformative ideas can now be driven by individual ambition and determination. No longer the sole domain of nations and global organisations, these pioneering, game-changing missions – or Moonshots – are defined by thinking big to drive change and shape the future. So the real question is: WHAT’S YOUR MOONSHOT?

Pocket World in Figures (Hardcover, 2018 Edition): The Economist Pocket World in Figures (Hardcover, 2018 Edition)
The Economist 1
R255 R179 Discovery Miles 1 790 Save R76 (30%) Within 4 - 8 working days

For more than 25 years, Pocket World in Figures has been informing and entertaining readers around the world with its blend of the serious, the quirky and the downright surprising.

Where else would you find out, in a single volume, that 98% of Suriname is forest, that Switzerland sells the most expensive Big Macs or that the Norway spends the most per person on music downloads?

The 2018 edition includes data from over 180 countries, presented in a series of rankings and country profiles. The rankings cover subjects as diverse as geography and demographics, business, economics and finance, health and welfare, culture and entertainment. Updated, revised and expanded each year to include new rankings and features, it also includes detailed statistical profiles of more than 65 of the world's major economies, the euro area and the world itself.

And, once again, the 2018 edition will showcase the Economist's strength in data journalism by including charts and graphs, and will invite readers to test their knowledge with its world rankings quiz, making the book an indispensable - and entertaining - guide to the world in figures.

2020 - World of War (Hardcover): Paul Cornish, Kingsley Donaldson 2020 - World of War (Hardcover)
Paul Cornish, Kingsley Donaldson 1
R559 R427 Discovery Miles 4 270 Save R132 (24%) Within 8 - 15 working days

'A WELL-RESEARCHED AND THOUGHT-PROVOKING BOOK' Telegraph'A timely and cogent reminder that history never ends and is about to be made' - Tim Marshall, author of Prisoners of Geography'This informed and expert book examines credible scenarios of what might happen, could happen and hopefully won't happen' - Lord George Robertson, former NATO Secretary General'2020: World of War should be read by our political leaders, policy makers and horizon scanners alike' - General Sir Richard Shirreff'This expert consideration of potential conflicts will be invaluable to us all - not just the policy makers and politicians who will have to deal with those issues' - Jonathan Powell, former Chief of Staff, 10 Downing Street'Knowing the unknown is the first step in making sure what we fear most doesn't happen' - Jonathan Powell, former Chief of Staff, 10 Downing StreetWith the world already struggling to contain conflicts on several continents, with security and defence expenditure under huge pressure, it's time to think the unthinkable and explore what might happen.As former soldiers now working in defence strategy and conflict resolution, Paul Cornish and Kingsley Donaldson are perfectly qualified to guide us through a credible and utterly convincing 20/20 vision of the year 2020, from cyber security to weapons technology, from geopolitics to undercover operations.This book is of global importance, offering both analysis and creative solutions - essential reading both for decision-makers and everyone who simply wants to understand our future.

Designing your first research proposal - A manual for researchers in education and the social sciences (Paperback, 2nd ed): R.... Designing your first research proposal - A manual for researchers in education and the social sciences (Paperback, 2nd ed)
R. Vithal, J. Jansen
R164 R133 Discovery Miles 1 330 Save R31 (19%) Within 4 - 8 working days

Appropriate for various disciplines, including law, science, social work, and mathematics, this updated manual presents a simple, clear, and coherent strategy for preparing a research proposal. From selecting a focus to presenting a solid conclusion, this practical, application-centered handbook offers step-by-step instructions on how to write a proposal for basic and advanced research projects.

Future Crimes - Inside The Digital Underground and the Battle For Our Connected World (Paperback): Marc Goodman Future Crimes - Inside The Digital Underground and the Battle For Our Connected World (Paperback)
Marc Goodman 1
R217 R177 Discovery Miles 1 770 Save R40 (18%) Within 8 - 15 working days

THE NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER. Future-proof yourself and your business by reading this book. Technological advances have benefited our world in immeasurable ways, but there is an ominous flipside. Criminals are often the earliest, and most innovative, adopters of technology and modern times have led to modern crimes. Today's criminals are stealing identities, draining online bank-accounts and wiping out computer servers. It's disturbingly easy to activate baby cam monitors to spy on families, pacemakers can be hacked to deliver a lethal jolt, and thieves are analyzing your social media in order to determine the best time for a home invasion. Meanwhile, 3D printers produce AK-47s, terrorists can download the recipe for the Ebola virus, and drug cartels are building drones. This is just the beginning of the tsunami of technological threats coming our way. In Future Crimes, Marc Goodman rips open his database of hundreds of real cases to give us front-row access to these impending perils. Reading like a sci-fi thriller, but based in startling fact, Goodman raises tough questions about the expanding role of technology in our lives. Future Crimes is a call to action for better security measures worldwide, but most importantly, will empower readers to protect themselves against these looming technological threats - before it's too late.

Deep Thinking - Where Machine Intelligence Ends and Human Creativity Begins (Hardcover): Garry Kasparov Deep Thinking - Where Machine Intelligence Ends and Human Creativity Begins (Hardcover)
Garry Kasparov; Contributions by Mig Greengard 1
R452 R351 Discovery Miles 3 510 Save R101 (22%) Within 8 - 15 working days

In May 1997, the world watched as Garry Kasparov, the greatest chess player in the world, was defeated for the first time by the IBM supercomputer Deep Blue. It was a watershed moment in the history of technology: machine intelligence had arrived at the point where it could best human intellect.It wasn't a coincidence that Kasparov became the symbol of man's fight against the machines. Chess has long been the fulcrum in development of machine intelligence; the hoax automaton 'The Turk' in the 18th century and Alan Turing's first chess program in 1952 were two early examples of the quest for machines to think like humans -- a talent we measured by their ability to beat their creators at chess. As the pre-eminent chessmaster of the 80s and 90s, it was Kasparov's blessing and his curse to play against each generation's strongest computer champions, contributing to their development and advancing the field. Like all passionate competitors, Kasparov has taken his defeat and learned from it. He has devoted much energy to devising ways in which humans can partner with machines in order to produce results better than either can achieve alone. During the twenty years since playing Deep Blue, he's played both with and against machines, learning a great deal about our vital relationship with our most remarkable creations. Ultimately, he's become convinced that by embracing the competition between human and machine intelligence, we can spend less time worrying about being replaced and more thinking of new challenges to conquer.In this breakthrough book, Kasparov tells his side of the story of Deep Blue for the first time -- what it was like to strategize against an implacable, untiring opponent -- the mistakes he made and the reasons the odds were against him. But more than that, he tells his story of AI more generally, and how he's evolved to embrace it, taking part in an urgent debate with philosophers worried about human values, programmers creating self-learning neural networks, and engineers of cutting edge robotics.

Research Methods - A Process of Inquiry (Paperback, Pearson New International ed of 8th revised ed): Anthony M. Graziano,... Research Methods - A Process of Inquiry (Paperback, Pearson New International ed of 8th revised ed)
Anthony M. Graziano, Michael L. Raulin
R1,240 Discovery Miles 12 400 Within 8 - 15 working days

Explores the entire range of research methodologies in psychology. This comprehensive text uses a carefully constructed programmatic approach to introduce topics and systematically build on earlier presentations. Research Methods emphasizes research concepts, as well as specific, technical research strategies, to help students develop an understanding of the underlying rational-empirical processes of science and gain specific research skills. The authors provide clearly written explanations of concepts and numerous examples drawn from all areas of psychology to enable students to develop a sophisticated understanding of the research process. The 8th edition includes an extensive integrated Web site (http: //www.mikeraulin.com/graziano8e/) with a variety of resources for students. Learning Goals Upon completing this book readers will be able to: * Understand the concepts of research design * Develop research skills based on a knowledge of appropriate research design * Develop a sensitivity to ethical issues in research and the skills necessary to address these issues * Understand basic statistical concept

Outside the Box - A Statistical Journey through the History of Football (Hardcover): Duncan Alexander Outside the Box - A Statistical Journey through the History of Football (Hardcover)
Duncan Alexander 1
R387 R305 Discovery Miles 3 050 Save R82 (21%) Within 8 - 15 working days

In football, numbers are everywhere. From touches in the opposition box to expected goals, clear-cut chances to win-loss ratios. In the modern game, these numbers help provide the narrative, the drama, and the conversation. They are scrutinised in order to justify results and to predict future outcomes. They even dictate transfer policy and drive clubs to achieve the impossible. But when did the numbers become so important and what do they mean? In Outside the Box, Duncan Alexander looks back at twenty-five years of the Premier League and beyond, uncovering the hidden truths and accepted myths that surround the game. Using the archives of OptaJoe and never-before-seen data, we discover why Liverpool have gone 27 years without winning a league title and why Lionel Messi is the best player in the game's history. Or is he? Insightful, wry, and hugely entertaining, Outside the Box is an enlightening and accessible account of football across the decades, analysing data from the some of the greatest seasons, players, teams and managers.

Educational Research - Quantitative, Qualitative, and Mixed Approaches (Hardcover, 4th Revised edition): R. Burke Johnson,... Educational Research - Quantitative, Qualitative, and Mixed Approaches (Hardcover, 4th Revised edition)
R. Burke Johnson, Larry B. Christensen
R2,354 Discovery Miles 23 540 Within 8 - 15 working days

Educational Research: Quantitative, Qualitative, and Mixed Approaches, Fourth Edition is a graduated text that introduces readers to the fundamental logic of empirical research and the sources of research ideas. Detailed descriptions guide students through the design and implementation of actual research studies with a balanced examination of quantitative, qualitative, and mixed research. Definitions of key terms are provided in the margins for easy reference and to help students understand the multiple research methods and strategies used in education and related fields. New Features: - Student study site materials are integrated within the text, with the use of marginal icons depicting interactive concept maps, journal articles, and tools and tips. - New "Action Research" activity for each chapter is included. - A chapter on Writing the Research report incorporates changes in new edition of the Publication Manual of the APA, and includes a sample manuscript using APA style. - New exhibits on Egon G. Guba and Donald T. Campbell, and a new table on applying qualitative research validity strategies are incorporated. - New material on research paradigms, types of plagiarism, using free software for random sampling and assignment, nomological vs. ideographic causation are integrated. - Several chapters are slightly shortened and made simpler, without sacrificing any of the book's rigor.

Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction (Paperback): Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction (Paperback)
Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner 1
R226 R179 Discovery Miles 1 790 Save R47 (21%) Within 8 - 15 working days

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER WINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD. "A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it." (Daniel Kahneman). What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60 per cent greater than average. They are superforecasters. In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life. "The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone." (Economist). "A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read ...Highly recommended." (Independent). "The best thing I have read on predictions ...Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity". (The Times).

Singularity Rising - Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World (Paperback, New): James D Miller Singularity Rising - Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World (Paperback, New)
James D Miller
R297 R252 Discovery Miles 2 520 Save R45 (15%) Within 7 - 15 working days

In Ray Kurzweil's New York Times bestseller The Singularity is Near, the futurist and entrepreneur describes the Singularity, a likely future utterly different than anything we can imagine. The Singularity is triggered by the tremendous growth of human and computing intelligence that is an almost inevitable outcome of Moore's Law. Since the book's publication, the coming of the Singularity is now eagerly anticipated by many of the leading thinkers in Silicon Valley, from PayPal mastermind Peter Thiel to Google co-founder Larry Page. The formation of the Singularity University, and the huge popularity of the Singularity website kurzweilai.com, speak to the importance of this intellectual movement. But what about the average person? How will the Singularity affect our daily lives-our jobs, our families, and our wealth? Singularity Rising: Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World focuses on the implications of a future society faced with an abundance of human and artificial intelligence. James D. Miller, an economics professor and popular speaker on the Singularity, reveals how natural selection has been increasing human intelligence over the past few thousand years and speculates on how intelligence enhancements will shape civilization over the next forty years. Miller considers several possible scenarios in this coming singularity: * A merger of man and machine making society fantastically wealthy and nearly immortal * Competition with billions of cheap AIs drive human wages to almost nothing while making investors rich * Businesses rethink investment decisions to take into account an expected future period of intense creative destruction * Inequality drops worldwide as technologies mitigate the cognitive cost of living in impoverished environments * Drugs designed to fight Alzheimer's disease and keep soldiers alert on battlefields have the fortunate side effect of increasing all of their users' IQs, which, in turn, adds a percentage points to worldwide economic growth Singularity Rising offers predictions about the economic implications for a future of widely expanding intelligence and practical career and investment advice on flourishing on the way to the Singularity.

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