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Books > Business & Economics > Economics > Econometrics

Time Series (Hardcover): Andrew Harvey Time Series (Hardcover)
Andrew Harvey
R8,210 Discovery Miles 82 100 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

The last 20 years have witnessed a considerable increase in the use of time series techniques in econometrics. The articles in this important set have been chosen to illustrate the main themes in time series work as it relates to econometrics. The editor has written a new concise introduction to accompany the articles. Sections covered include: Ad Hoc Forecasting Procedures, ARIMA Modelling, Structural Time Series Models, Unit Roots, Detrending and Non-stationarity, Seasonality, Seasonal Adjustment and Calendar Effects, Dynamic Regression and Intervention Analysis, Multivariate Models, Causality, Exogeneity and Expectations, State Space Models and the Kalman Filter, Non-Linear and Non-Gaussian Models.

The HISTORY OF ECONOMETRICS (Hardcover): Adrian C. Darnell The HISTORY OF ECONOMETRICS (Hardcover)
Adrian C. Darnell
R7,853 Discovery Miles 78 530 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This is a two-volume collection of major papers which have shaped the development of econometrics. Part I includes articles which together provide an overview of the history of econometrics, Part II addresses the relationship between econometrics and statistics, the articles in Part III constitute early applied studies, and Part IV includes articles concerned with the role and method of econometrics. The work comprises 42 articles, dating from 1921-1991, and contributors include E.W. Gilboy, W.C. Mitchell, J.J. Spengler, R. Stone, H.O. Wold and S. Wright.

Studies in Econometric Theory - The Collected Essays of Takeshi Amemiya (Hardcover): Takeshi Amemiya Studies in Econometric Theory - The Collected Essays of Takeshi Amemiya (Hardcover)
Takeshi Amemiya
R2,892 Discovery Miles 28 920 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Takeshi Amemiya has made a significant contribution to econometric theory over the past 30 years. This volume brings together 34 of his key articles and papers on areas such as limited dependent variables, non-linear simultaneous equations models, time series analysis and error components models. Many of the articles reprinted in this volume are indispensable references for researchers in the relevant fields. The specially written preface outlines the influences and motivations behind Professor Amemiya's work. Studies in Econometric Theory presents in a single volume the most significant work of one of the most important influential econometricians of our time.

The METHODOLOGY OF ECONOMETRICS (Hardcover): Dale J. Poirier The METHODOLOGY OF ECONOMETRICS (Hardcover)
Dale J. Poirier
R8,917 Discovery Miles 89 170 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

The methodology of econometrics is concerned with rules governing the building of statistical models in economics. These two volumes draw together 62 previously published studies in economics and statistics. The volumes are divided into 12 sections covering controversial topics ranging from the earliest days of econometrics to the present. Sections include policy analysis, exogeneity, causality, Bayesian perspective and British econometrics.

Economic Theory and Financial Policy - The Selected Essays of Jacques J. Polak (Hardcover): Jacques J. Polak Economic Theory and Financial Policy - The Selected Essays of Jacques J. Polak (Hardcover)
Jacques J. Polak
R4,400 Discovery Miles 44 000 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This two volume set brings together a key selection of papers written by Jacques J. Polak over the last 50 years in the fields of economics, econometrics and finance. Presented under five broad headings, the collection begins with his work on international and national business cycles - a subject on which the author worked with Nobel Prize winner Jan Tinbergen - problems of international trade and balance of payments adjustment. Later sections examine exchange rates and how they affect the balance of payments, inflation and hyperinflation; the monetary approach to the balance of payments, a subject that the author pioneered in the IMF and that became the framework of the conditionality of IMF credits; and international liquidity, with particular reference to the special drawing right (SDR). The final section features the author's essays on the international monetary system itself, including topics such as the international co ordination of national economic policies, the changes over time in the objectives of national policy making in the main industrial countries and reform of the system. Economic Theory and Financial Policy will be welcomed by researchers, students and practitioners concerned with economics, government finance, banking and international economic relations.

Data Mining for Business Analytics - Concepts, Techniques, and Applications with XLMiner (Hardcover, 3rd Edition): Galit... Data Mining for Business Analytics - Concepts, Techniques, and Applications with XLMiner (Hardcover, 3rd Edition)
Galit Shmueli, Nitin R. Patel, Peter C Bruce
R2,405 R2,115 Discovery Miles 21 150 Save R290 (12%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Data Mining for Business Analytics: Concepts, Techniques, and Applications in XLMiner(R), Third Edition presents an applied approach to data mining and predictive analytics with clear exposition, hands-on exercises, and real-life case studies. Readers will work with all of the standard data mining methods using the Microsoft(R) Office Excel(R) add-in XLMiner(R) to develop predictive models and learn how to obtain business value from Big Data. Featuring updated topical coverage on text mining, social network analysis, collaborative filtering, ensemble methods, uplift modeling and more, the Third Edition also includes: * Real-world examples to build a theoretical and practical understanding of key data mining methods * End-of-chapter exercises that help readers better understand the presented material * Data-rich case studies to illustrate various applications of data mining techniques * Completely new chapters on social network analysis and text mining * A companion site with additional data sets, instructors material that include solutions to exercises and case studies, and Microsoft PowerPoint(R) slides * Free 140-day license to use XLMiner for Education software Data Mining for Business Analytics: Concepts, Techniques, and Applications in XLMiner(R), Third Edition is an ideal textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses as well as professional programs on data mining, predictive modeling, and Big Data analytics. The new edition is also a unique reference for analysts, researchers, and practitioners working with predictive analytics in the fields of business, finance, marketing, computer science, and information technology. Praise for the Second Edition " full of vivid and thought-provoking anecdotes...needs to be read by anyone with a serious interest in research and marketing." Research Magazine "Shmueli et al. have done a wonderful job in presenting the field of data mining - a welcome addition to the literature." ComputingReviews.com "Excellent choice for business analysts...The book is a perfect fit for its intended audience." Keith McCormick, Consultant and Author of SPSS Statistics For Dummies, Third Edition and SPSS Statistics for Data Analysis and Visualization Galit Shmueli, PhD, is Distinguished Professor at National Tsing Hua University s Institute of Service Science. She has designed and instructed data mining courses since 2004 at University of Maryland, Statistics.com, The Indian School of Business, and National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan. Professor Shmueli is known for her research and teaching in business analytics, with a focus on statistical and data mining methods in information systems and healthcare. She has authored over 70 journal articles, books, textbooks and book chapters. Peter C. Bruce is President and Founder of the Institute for Statistics Education at www.statistics.com. He has written multiple journal articles and is the developer of Resampling Stats software. He is the author of Introductory Statistics and Analytics: A Resampling Perspective, also published by Wiley. Nitin R. Patel, PhD, is Chairman and cofounder of Cytel, Inc., based in Cambridge, Massachusetts. A Fellow of the American Statistical Association, Dr. Patel has also served as a Visiting Professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and at Harvard University. He is a Fellow of the Computer Society of India and was a professor at the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad for 15 years.

Student Solutions Manual for Mathematics for Economics (Paperback, third edition): Michael Hoy, John Livernois, Chris McKenna,... Student Solutions Manual for Mathematics for Economics (Paperback, third edition)
Michael Hoy, John Livernois, Chris McKenna, Ray Rees, Thanasis Stengos
R711 Discovery Miles 7 110 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This text offers a comprehensive presentation of the mathematics required to tackle problems in economic analyses. To give a better understanding of the mathematical concepts, the text follows the logic of the development of mathematics rather than that of an economics course. The only prerequisite is high school algebra, but the book goes on to cover all the mathematics needed for undergraduate economics. It is also a useful reference for graduate students.

Microeconometrics - Methods and Applications (Hardcover): A. Colin Cameron, Pravin K. Trivedi Microeconometrics - Methods and Applications (Hardcover)
A. Colin Cameron, Pravin K. Trivedi
R1,627 R1,387 Discovery Miles 13 870 Save R240 (15%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This book provides the most comprehensive treatment to date of microeconometrics, the analysis of individual-level data on the economic behavior of individuals or firms using regression methods for cross section and panel data. The book is oriented to the practitioner. A basic understanding of the linear regression model with matrix algebra is assumed. The text can be used for a microeconometrics course, typically a second-year economics PhD course; for data-oriented applied microeconometrics field courses; and as a reference work for graduate students and applied researchers who wish to fill in gaps in their toolkit. Distinguishing features of the book include emphasis on nonlinear models and robust inference, simulation-based estimation, and problems of complex survey data. The book makes frequent use of numerical examples based on generated data to illustrate the key models and methods. More substantially, it systematically integrates into the text empirical illustrations based on seven large and exceptionally rich data sets.

Structural Macroeconometrics - Second Edition (Hardcover, 2nd Revised edition): David N. DeJong, Chetan Dave Structural Macroeconometrics - Second Edition (Hardcover, 2nd Revised edition)
David N. DeJong, Chetan Dave
R1,356 R1,006 Discovery Miles 10 060 Save R350 (26%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

"Structural Macroeconometrics" provides a thorough overview and in-depth exploration of methodologies, models, and techniques used to analyze forces shaping national economies. In this thoroughly revised second edition, David DeJong and Chetan Dave emphasize time series econometrics and unite theoretical and empirical research, while taking into account important new advances in the field.

The authors detail strategies for solving dynamic structural models and present the full range of methods for characterizing and evaluating empirical implications, including calibration exercises, method-of-moment procedures, and likelihood-based procedures, both classical and Bayesian. The authors look at recent strides that have been made to enhance numerical efficiency, consider the expanded applicability of dynamic factor models, and examine the use of alternative assumptions involving learning and rational inattention on the part of decision makers. The treatment of methodologies for obtaining nonlinear model representations has been expanded, and linear and nonlinear model representations are integrated throughout the text. The book offers a rich array of implementation algorithms, sample empirical applications, and supporting computer code.

"Structural Macroeconometrics" is the ideal textbook for graduate students seeking an introduction to macroeconomics and econometrics, and for advanced students pursuing applied research in macroeconomics. The book's historical perspective, along with its broad presentation of alternative methodologies, makes it an indispensable resource for academics and professionals.

The Limits of Econometrics (Paperback, New edition): Adrian C. Darnell, J.L. Evans The Limits of Econometrics (Paperback, New edition)
Adrian C. Darnell, J.L. Evans
R600 Discovery Miles 6 000 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Econometric issues have provoked a lively and sometimes adversarial debate in the economics profession. The excitement and intellectual vitality of that debate is captured here for the reader in a lucid overview of econometric approaches, describing their advantages and limitations. This ambitious book focuses on the underlying methodological issues rather than concentrating upon econometric techniques. The limits of econometric investigations are identified through a critical appraisal of three different approaches associated with the work of Professors Hendry, Leamer and Sims. After explaining why the early optimism in econometrics was misplaced, it argues that rejection is not an appropriate response. It offers a rich spectrum of approaches to a problem of central importance in the development of modern economics. The book will appeal not only to all econometricians whatever their persuasion but also to all those with an interest in the methodology of economics.

Handbook of Computational Social Choice (Hardcover): Felix Brandt, Vincent Conitzer, Ulle Endriss, Jerome Lang, Ariel D.... Handbook of Computational Social Choice (Hardcover)
Felix Brandt, Vincent Conitzer, Ulle Endriss, Jerome Lang, Ariel D. Procaccia; Foreword by …
R1,051 R994 Discovery Miles 9 940 Save R57 (5%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

The rapidly growing field of computational social choice, at the intersection of computer science and economics, deals with the computational aspects of collective decision making. This handbook, written by thirty-six prominent members of the computational social choice community, covers the field comprehensively. Chapters devoted to each of the field's major themes offer detailed introductions. Topics include voting theory (such as the computational complexity of winner determination and manipulation in elections), fair allocation (such as algorithms for dividing divisible and indivisible goods), coalition formation (such as matching and hedonic games), and many more. Graduate students, researchers, and professionals in computer science, economics, mathematics, political science, and philosophy will benefit from this accessible and self-contained book.

Panel Data Econometrics with R (Hardcover): Yves Croissant, Givanni Millo Panel Data Econometrics with R (Hardcover)
Yves Croissant, Givanni Millo
R1,680 R1,487 Discovery Miles 14 870 Save R193 (11%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Panel Data Econometrics with R provides a tutorial for using R in the field of panel data econometrics. Illustrated throughout with examples in econometrics, political science, agriculture and epidemiology, this book presents classic methodology and applications as well as more advanced topics and recent developments in this field including error component models, spatial panels and dynamic models. They have developed the software programming in R and host replicable material on the book s accompanying website.

Econometrics - A Practical Approach (Paperback): Anastasios Katos, Kevin Lawler, Hamid Seddighi Econometrics - A Practical Approach (Paperback)
Anastasios Katos, Kevin Lawler, Hamid Seddighi
R1,371 Discovery Miles 13 710 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days


Recognizing that A-level mathematics is no longer a prerequisite for economics degrees, this textbook is the first serious attempt to outline the basics of econometrics in the clearest and simplest manner possible. The main features of Econometrics: A Practical Approach include:
* a non-mathematical exposition of the key issues and topics
* worked examples involving real economic data
* a chapter on the use of modern technology including a listing of all the main data sources on the world wide web
* an appendix which makes use of the Microfit package to generate empirical results
* an examination of recent developments in the field. This text will be invaluable to students at all levels venturing into the world of econometrics.

Applied Econometrics (Paperback, 3rd ed. 2015): Dimitrios Asteriou, S. G Hall Applied Econometrics (Paperback, 3rd ed. 2015)
Dimitrios Asteriou, S. G Hall
R1,134 R1,026 Discovery Miles 10 260 Save R108 (10%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This textbook offers a unique blend of theory and practical application. Taking students from a basic level up to an advanced understanding in an intuitive, step-by-step fashion, it provides perfect preparation for doing applied econometric work. Economic tests and methods of estimation are presented clearly, and practical guidance on using several types of software packages is given. Real world data is used throughout and emphasis is given to the interpretation of the results, and the conclusions to be drawn from them in econometric work. This book will be core reading for undergraduate and Master's students on an Economics or Finance degree, who take a course in applied econometrics. Its practical nature makes it perfect for modules requiring a research project.

The Development of Economics in Western Europe Since 1945 (Hardcover): A.W. Coats The Development of Economics in Western Europe Since 1945 (Hardcover)
A.W. Coats
R3,529 R3,339 Discovery Miles 33 390 Save R190 (5%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days


Contents:
1. Editorial introduction A. W. Bob Coates 2. Economics in mid-Atlantic: British economics 1945-95 Roger E. Backhouse, University of Birmingham, UK 3. The Post-1945 development of economics and economists in Sweden Bo Sandelin and Ann Veiderpass, both at University of Gothenburg, Sweden and Nikias Sarafoglou, Mid-Sweden University 4. Postwar Dutch Economics Henk W. Plasmeijer and Evert Schoorl, University of Groningen, The Netherlands 5. The post 1945 development of economics in Belgium Ivo Maes, Erik Buyst and Muriel Bouchet, National Bank of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium 6. The 1945 development of economics in Germany Harald Hagemann, Universitat Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany 7. Economics in France: A Manifold system Christian Schmidt, Paris, France 8. Europe, and the post-1945 internationalization of political economy - the case of Italy Pier Luigi Porta, Universite Degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy 9. The advent of modern economics in Portugal Carlos Bastien, ISEG, Lisbon, Portugal 10. The development of economic studies and research in Spain (1939-1995) Salvador Almenar, Universitat de Valencia, Spain 11. Institutional constraints and the internationalization of economics: the case of Greece Michael Psalidopoulos, Panteion University, Athens, Greece 12. Concluding reflections A. W. Bob Coates

Econometric Society Monographs, Series Number 60 - Random Sets in Econometrics (Paperback): Ilya Molchanov, Francesca Molinari Econometric Society Monographs, Series Number 60 - Random Sets in Econometrics (Paperback)
Ilya Molchanov, Francesca Molinari
R587 Discovery Miles 5 870 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Random set theory is a fascinating branch of mathematics that amalgamates techniques from topology, convex geometry, and probability theory. Social scientists routinely conduct empirical work with data and modelling assumptions that reveal a set to which the parameter of interest belongs, but not its exact value. Random set theory provides a coherent mathematical framework to conduct identification analysis and statistical inference in this setting and has become a fundamental tool in econometrics and finance. This is the first book dedicated to the use of the theory in econometrics, written to be accessible for readers without a background in pure mathematics. Molchanov and Molinari define the basics of the theory and illustrate the mathematical concepts by their application in the analysis of econometric models. The book includes sets of exercises to accompany each chapter as well as examples to help readers apply the theory effectively.

Mathematics for Economics and Business (Paperback, 9th Edition): Ian Jacques Mathematics for Economics and Business (Paperback, 9th Edition)
Ian Jacques
R1,328 Discovery Miles 13 280 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Mathematics for Economics and Business, 9e is the essential resource you need when studying mathematics as part of your economics, management or business course.

Whatever your level of prior mathematical knowledge, ability or confidence, this book will guide you step-by-step through the key mathematical concepts and techniques you need to succeed. Starting with the basics, the book is designed to allow you to progress at your own pace, with a wealth of examples, practice exercises and self-test questions to check your understanding along the way.

Worked examples throughout each chapter illustrate how mathematical concepts and techniques relate to the business world and encourage you to solve real problems yourself.

Over 200 new questions have been added to this new edition, with answers provided, making it a fantastic resource for revision purposes.

Additional online resources to support your learning, including an online homework and tutorial system can be accessed via MyLab Math, which accompanies this book. You need an access card and a course ID, issued by your lecturer.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting (Hardcover, 3rd ed. 2016): Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting (Hardcover, 3rd ed. 2016)
Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis
R1,613 R1,255 Discovery Miles 12 550 Save R358 (22%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This book is aimed at the reader who wishes to gain a working knowledge of time series and forecasting methods as applied to economics, engineering and the natural and social sciences. It assumes knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra and elementary statistics. This third edition contains detailed instructions for the use of the professional version of the Windows-based computer package ITSM2000, now available as a free download from the Springer Extras website. The logic and tools of time series model-building are developed in detail. Numerous exercises are included and the software can be used to analyze and forecast data sets of the user's own choosing. The book can also be used in conjunction with other time series packages such as those included in R. The programs in ITSM2000 however are menu-driven and can be used with minimal investment of time in the computational details. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Many additional special topics are also covered. New to this edition: A chapter devoted to Financial Time Series Introductions to Brownian motion, Levy processes and Ito calculus An expanded section on continuous-time ARMA processes

Matching, Regression Discontinuity, Difference in Differences, and Beyond (Paperback): Myoung-Jae Lee Matching, Regression Discontinuity, Difference in Differences, and Beyond (Paperback)
Myoung-Jae Lee
R809 R767 Discovery Miles 7 670 Save R42 (5%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This book reviews the three most popular methods (and their extensions) in applied economics and other social sciences: matching, regression discontinuity, and difference in differences. The book introduces the underlying econometric/statistical ideas, shows what is identified and how the identified parameters are estimated, and then illustrates how they are applied with real empirical examples. The book emphasizes how to implement the three methods with data: many data and programs are provided in the online appendix. All readers--theoretical econometricians/statisticians, applied economists/social-scientists and researchers/students--will find something useful in the book from different perspectives.

Applied Choice Analysis (Paperback, 2nd Revised edition): David A. Hensher, John M. Rose, William H. Greene Applied Choice Analysis (Paperback, 2nd Revised edition)
David A. Hensher, John M. Rose, William H. Greene
R1,430 R1,345 Discovery Miles 13 450 Save R85 (6%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

The second edition of this popular book brings students fully up to date with the latest methods and techniques in choice analysis. Comprehensive yet accessible, it offers a unique introduction to anyone interested in understanding how to model and forecast the range of choices made by individuals and groups. In addition to a complete rewrite of several chapters, new topics covered include ordered choice, scaled MNL, generalized mixed logit, latent class models, group decision making, heuristics and attribute processing strategies, expected utility theory, and prospect theoretic applications. Many additional case studies are used to illustrate the applications of choice analysis with extensive command syntax provided for all Nlogit applications and datasets available online. With its unique blend of theory, estimation, and application, this book has broad appeal to all those interested in choice modeling methods and will be a valuable resource for students as well as researchers, professionals, and consultants.

Derivatives (Hardcover, 2nd Revised edition): T. V. Somanathan, V. Anantha Nageswaran, Harsh Gupta Derivatives (Hardcover, 2nd Revised edition)
T. V. Somanathan, V. Anantha Nageswaran, Harsh Gupta
R1,672 R1,555 Discovery Miles 15 550 Save R117 (7%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This book provides a comprehensive but concise treatment of the subject of derivatives. It focuses on making essential concepts accessible to a wider audience. The book eschews complicated mathematics and high school level mathematics is sufficient to understand it. It describes and explains various derivative instruments, their use and pricing, and the functioning of derivative markets. It uses a large number of examples to elucidate concepts and illustrate their real-life application. A distinguishing feature of the book is that it goes beyond the narrow perspective of derivative traders and investors and takes a broader approach which enhances its appeal to a range of readers. This book will be useful for students in the fields of economics, econometrics, derivatives, and finance and financial professionals, bankers and investors.

New South African review 6 - The crisis of inequality (Paperback): Gilbert M. Khadiagala, Sarah Mosoetsa, Devan Pillay, Roger... New South African review 6 - The crisis of inequality (Paperback)
Gilbert M. Khadiagala, Sarah Mosoetsa, Devan Pillay, Roger Southall
R380 R299 Discovery Miles 2 990 Save R81 (21%) Shipped within 4 - 10 working days

Despite the transition from apartheid to democracy, South Africa is the most unequal country in the world. Its extremes of wealth and poverty undermine intensifying struggles for a better life for all. The wide-ranging essays in this sixth volume of the New South African Review demonstrate how the consequences of inequality extend throughout society and the political economy, crippling the quest for social justice, polarising the politics, skewing economic outcomes and bringing devastating environmental consequences in their wake. Contributors survey the extent and consequences of inequality across fields as diverse as education, disability, agrarian reform, nuclear geography and small towns, and tackle some of the most difficult social, political and economic issues. How has the quest for greater equality affected progressive political discourse? How has inequality reproduced itself, despite best intentions in social policy, to the detriment of the poor and the historically disadvantaged? How have shifts in mining and the financialisation of the economy reshaped the contours of inequality? How does inequality reach into the daily social life of South Africans, and shape the way in which they interact? How does the extent and shape of inequality in South Africa compare with that of other major countries of the global South which themselves are notorious for their extremes of wealth and poverty? South African extremes of inequality reflect increasing inequality globally, and The Crisis of Inequality will speak to all those - general readers, policy makers, researchers and students - who are demanding a more equal world.

Loss Coverage - Why Insurance Works Better with Some Adverse Selection (Paperback): Guy Thomas Loss Coverage - Why Insurance Works Better with Some Adverse Selection (Paperback)
Guy Thomas
R492 Discovery Miles 4 920 Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

Most academic and policy commentary represents adverse selection as a severe problem in insurance, which should always be deprecated, avoided or minimised. This book gives a contrary view. It details the exaggeration of adverse selection in insurers' rhetoric and insurance economics, and presents evidence that in many insurance markets, adverse selection is weaker than most commentators suggest. A novel arithmetical argument shows that from a public policy perspective, 'weak' adverse selection can be a good thing. This is because a degree of adverse selection is needed to maximise 'loss coverage', the expected fraction of the population's losses which is compensated by insurance. This book will be valuable for those interested in public policy arguments about insurance and discrimination: academics (in economics, law and social policy), policymakers, actuaries, underwriters, disability activists, geneticists and other medical professionals.

In 100 Years - Leading Economists Predict the Future (Hardcover): Ignacio Palacios-Huerta In 100 Years - Leading Economists Predict the Future (Hardcover)
Ignacio Palacios-Huerta
R528 R368 Discovery Miles 3 680 Save R160 (30%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This pithy and engaging volume shows that economists may be better equipped to predict the future than science fiction writers. Economists' ideas, based on both theory and practice, reflect their knowledge of the laws of human interactions as well as years of experimentation and reflection. Although perhaps not as screenplay-ready as a work of fiction, these economists' predictions are ready for their close-ups. In this book, ten prominent economists -- including Nobel laureates and several likely laureates -- offer their ideas about the world of the twenty-second century. In scenarios that range from the optimistic to the guardedly gloomy, these thinkers consider such topics as the transformation of work and wages, the continuing increase in inequality, the economic rise of China and India, the endlessly repeating cycle of crisis and (projected) recovery, the benefits of technology, the economic consequences of political extremism, and the long-range effects of climate change. For example, Daron Acemoglu offers a thoughtful discussion of how trends of the last century -- including uneven growth, technological integration, and resource scarcity -- might translate into the next; 2013 Nobelist Robert Shiller provides an innovative view of future risk management methods using information technology; 2012 Nobelist Alvin Roth projects his theory of Matching Markets into the next century, focusing on schools, jobs, marriage and family, and medicine; 1987 Nobelist Robert Solow considers the shift away from remunerated labor, among other subjects; and Martin Weitzman raises the intriguing but alarming possibility of using geoengineering techniques to mitigate the nevitable effects of climate change. In a 1930 essay mentioned by several contributors, "Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren," John Maynard Keynes offered predictions that, read today, range from absolutely correct to spectacularly wrong. This book follows in Keynes's path, hoping, perhaps, to better his average.

Decision Processes by Using Bivariate Normal Quantile Pairs (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2015): N.C. Das Decision Processes by Using Bivariate Normal Quantile Pairs (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2015)
N.C. Das
R2,729 R2,005 Discovery Miles 20 050 Save R724 (27%) Shipped within 7 - 12 working days

This book discusses equi-quantile values and their use in generating decision alternatives under the twofold complexities of uncertainty and dependence, offering scope for surrogating between two alternative portfolios when they are correlated. The book begins with a discussion on components of rationality and learning models as indispensable concepts in decision-making processes. It identifies three-fold complexities in such processes: uncertainty, dependence and dynamism. The book is a novel attempt to seek tangible solutions for such decision problems. To do so, four hundred tables of bi-quantile pairs are presented for carefully chosen grids. In fact, it is a two-variable generalization of the inverse normal integral table, which is used in obtaining bivariate normal quantile pairs for the given values of probability and correlation. When making decisions, only two of them have to be taken at a time. These tables are essential tools for decision-making under risk and dependence, and offer scope for delving up to a single step of dynamism. The book subsequently addresses averments dealing with applications and advantages. The content is useful to empirical scientists and risk-oriented decision makers who are often required to make choices on the basis of pairs of variables. The book also helps simulators seeking valid confidence intervals for their estimates, and particle physicists looking for condensed confidence intervals for Higgs-Boson utilizing the Bose-Einstein correlation given the magnitude of such correlations. Entrepreneurs and investors as well as students of management, statistics, economics and econometrics, psychology, psychometrics and psychographics, social sciences, geographic information system, geology, agricultural and veterinary sciences, medical sciences and diagnostics, and remote sensing will also find the book very useful.

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