This research uses asset allocation concepts to determine the
correct amount of cargo to send down the PAKGLOC and NDN to
minimize the risk of loss or damage. Loss and Damage data is used
from Transportation Discrepancy Reports and overall value is
assumed to match the industry standard. Using assumed levels of
pilferage along the NDN, a Monte Carlo simulation is run at each
level of pilferage, and a Co-Lower Partial Moment model is solved.
Analysis of the data shows a wide spread of possible optimal
solutions at each level of pilferage. Due to the low levels of risk
along each route, risk is not an appropriate factor to use alone to
determine the best shipping mix into Afghanistan.
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