High Quality Content by WIKIPEDIA articles! In probability theory,
the rule of succession is a formula introduced in the 18th century
by Pierre-Simon Laplace in the course of treating the sunrise
problem. The formula is still used, particularly to estimate
underlying probabilities for events which have not been observed to
occur at all in (finite) sample data. Assigning such events a zero
probability would contravene Cromwell's rule, and is not justified
by the evidence. If we repeat an experiment one of which we know
that it can be a success or fail -- n times independently and get s
successes, then what is the probability that the next repetition
will again be a success?
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